# EsportSharps

> EsportSharps publishes practical esports analysis and four browser-based calculators.

This is an inventory of the published resources, not independent validation of every claim. Models depend on their stated assumptions and do not guarantee profit.
Locales: English /en/, Portuguese /pt/, Spanish /es/, Russian /ru/. Use the matching localized resource when citing a page.
Mathematical reference: https://esportsmath.org/.
Editorial contact: contact@esportsharps.com.

## Tools
- [CS2 MR12 Economy & Break-Even Simulator](https://esportsharps.com/en/tools/cs2-economy-simulator/)
- [Esports Odds & Margin Drag Converter](https://esportsharps.com/en/tools/esports-odds-converter/)
- [Series Win Probability Calculator (Bo1 / Bo3 / Bo5)](https://esportsharps.com/en/tools/series-win-calculator/)
- [Esports Bankroll Tracker & Kelly Unit Sizer](https://esportsharps.com/en/tools/esports-bankroll-tracker/)

## strategy

- [CS2 Betting Strategy: Economy, Map Veto and Series Prices](https://esportsharps.com/en/strategy/cs2-betting-strategy-guide/)
- [MR12 economy: loss counters and conditional round models](https://esportsharps.com/en/strategy/mr12-economy-betting-impact/)
- [Pistol rounds: count, cash and conditional cascades](https://esportsharps.com/en/strategy/pistol-round-cascades/)
- [Map Veto and Pool Depth: Scenarios and Probabilities](https://esportsharps.com/en/strategy/map-veto-and-pool-depth/)
- [CT and T-Side Asymmetry: Conditional Half-Time Pricing](https://esportsharps.com/en/strategy/ct-t-side-asymmetry-odds/)
- [CS2 Overtime Math: A Conditional MR3 Model and Its Limits](https://esportsharps.com/en/strategy/cs2-overtime-betting-math/)
- [Round Handicaps vs Totals: Score Sets and Prices](https://esportsharps.com/en/strategy/round-handicaps-vs-totals/)
- [Tactical Timeouts: Evidence, Timing and Conditional Models](https://esportsharps.com/en/strategy/live-timeout-momentum-reads/)
- [Dota 2 Betting Strategy: Drafts, Gold, Objectives and Buybacks](https://esportsharps.com/en/strategy/dota2-betting-strategy-guide/)
- [Draft Phase Win Probability: Evaluating Plans and Uncertainty](https://esportsharps.com/en/strategy/draft-phase-win-probability/)
- [Net Worth Lead Decay: Relative Gold and Conditional Probability](https://esportsharps.com/en/strategy/net-worth-lead-decay-math/)
- [Buyback State Machine: Late-Game Availability and Dieback Risk](https://esportsharps.com/en/strategy/buyback-state-machine-strategy/)
- [Roshan Timing and Aegis: Patch Rules, State and Conditional Odds](https://esportsharps.com/en/strategy/roshan-timing-and-aegis-odds/)
- [First Blood and Race to 10 Kills: Conditional Models for Early Props](https://esportsharps.com/en/strategy/first-blood-and-10-kills-props/)
- [Dota 2 Tournament Meta: Updating Draft Evidence During an Event](https://esportsharps.com/en/strategy/dota2-tournament-meta-shifts/)
- [Lane State Live Evaluation: Reading Farm, Experience and Pressure](https://esportsharps.com/en/strategy/lane-state-live-evaluation/)
- [Esports Market Selection: Contracts, Probabilities and Capacity](https://esportsharps.com/en/strategy/esports-market-selection-guide/)
- [Map Winner vs Series Winner: Probabilities and Prices](https://esportsharps.com/en/strategy/map-winner-vs-match-winner/)
- [Player Props: Modeling Kills, ADR and Opportunity](https://esportsharps.com/en/strategy/player-props-adr-and-kills/)
- [Outrights vs Series: Tournament Paths and Capital](https://esportsharps.com/en/strategy/outrights-vs-series-betting/)
- [Bo3 and Bo5 Map Handicaps: Scorelines and Payoffs](https://esportsharps.com/en/strategy/handicap-mechanics-bo3-bo5/)
- [Stream delay in live betting: state alignment and conditional models](https://esportsharps.com/en/strategy/stream-delay-in-play-traps/)
- [Hedging and Cash-Out: Payoffs, Conditional Value and Execution](https://esportsharps.com/en/strategy/hedging-and-cashout-math/)
- [Exotic Esports Props: Auditing Margin, Rarity and Model Risk](https://esportsharps.com/en/strategy/exotic-esports-props-audit/)
- [Esports Line Shopping: Contracts, Prices and Costs](https://esportsharps.com/en/strategy/esports-line-shopping-guide/)
- [1win vs Stake Margin Audit: A Reproducible Comparison Method](https://esportsharps.com/en/strategy/esports-margin-audit-1win-vs-stake/)
- [Closing Line Value in Esports: Calculation, Benchmarks and Limits](https://esportsharps.com/en/strategy/closing-line-value-esports/)
- [Lower-Tier Esports: Limits, Lineups and Uncertainty](https://esportsharps.com/en/strategy/tier2-liquidity-and-limits/)
- [Esports Bonuses: Rollover, Cash Flows and Limits of EV Screens](https://esportsharps.com/en/strategy/esports-bonus-wagering-reality/)
- [Crypto vs Fiat Esports Payments: Costs, Timing and Verification](https://esportsharps.com/en/strategy/crypto-vs-fiat-esports-betting/)
- [Sportsbook limits: evidence, accepted stakes and account exposure](https://esportsharps.com/en/strategy/account-limitation-prevention/)
- [Official feeds versus broadcasts: product scope, timestamps and settlement](https://esportsharps.com/en/strategy/radar-delays-vs-twitch-youtube/)
- [Esports Bankroll Management: Capital, Units and Explicit Risk Models](https://esportsharps.com/en/strategy/esports-bankroll-management/)
- [Fractional Kelly for Esports: Exact Growth and Probability Error](https://esportsharps.com/en/strategy/fractional-kelly-for-esports/)
- [Bo1 Upsets and Swiss Formats: Conditional Probability, Not a Universal Edge](https://esportsharps.com/en/strategy/bo1-upsets-and-swiss-variance/)
- [Tilt After a Bad Beat: Interrupt Chasing and Preserve the Record](https://esportsharps.com/en/strategy/tilt-control-after-bad-beats/)
- [Session Stop-Loss and Win Targets: Define the Actual Boundary](https://esportsharps.com/en/strategy/session-stop-loss-win-targets/)
- [Tracking Esports ROI, CLV and Variance Without False Proof](https://esportsharps.com/en/strategy/tracking-roi-and-variance-log/)
- [Fandom Bias: Pricing Examples and Blind Forecasts](https://esportsharps.com/en/strategy/fandom-bias-and-favorite-traps/)
- [Drawdown Recovery: A Decision Protocol Without Recovery Promises](https://esportsharps.com/en/strategy/drawdown-recovery-protocol/)
## mistakes

- [Mistake: using a Bo3 probability to price a Bo1](https://esportsharps.com/en/mistakes/betting-bo1-like-bo3/)
- [Mistake #2: Ignoring Stream Delay in Live Betting](https://esportsharps.com/en/mistakes/ignoring-stream-delay/)
- [Mistake #3: Chasing a Favorite’s -1.5 Map Handicap](https://esportsharps.com/en/mistakes/chasing-favorite-handicaps/)
- [Mistake #4: Overlooking Stand-ins and Roster Changes](https://esportsharps.com/en/mistakes/overlooking-roster-substitutions/)
- [Mistake #5: Misreading CS2 Loss Counters and Round-Two Cash](https://esportsharps.com/en/mistakes/ignoring-economy-resets/)
## learn

- [Step 1: Your First 100 Esports Bets - Bankroll, Margin & Data Hygiene](https://esportsharps.com/en/learn/esports-first-100-bets/)
- [Step 2: Map Vetoes and MOBA Drafts as Model Inputs](https://esportsharps.com/en/learn/mastering-veto-and-drafts/)
- [Step 3: Quantitative Esports Models, CLV and Kelly](https://esportsharps.com/en/learn/quant-esports-sharp/)

## Clusters
- [CS2 Tactical Economy & Round Dynamics](https://esportsharps.com/en/strategy/cs2-betting-strategy-guide/)
- [Dota 2 Draft Dynamics & In-Game Valuation](https://esportsharps.com/en/strategy/dota2-betting-strategy-guide/)
- [Esports Market Selection & Odds Valuation](https://esportsharps.com/en/strategy/esports-market-selection-guide/)
- [Line Shopping & Esports Operator Auditing](https://esportsharps.com/en/strategy/esports-line-shopping-guide/)
- [Bankroll Management, Fractional Kelly & Tilt Control](https://esportsharps.com/en/strategy/esports-bankroll-management/)

## Glossary: 60 terms

- [MR12 Format (Max Rounds 12)](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#mr12)
- [Loss Bonus Reset (Economy Reset)](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#loss-bonus-reset)
- [Force Buy](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#force-buy)
- [Anti-Eco Round](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#anti-eco)
- [Bomb Plant Bonus ($800)](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#bomb-plant-bonus)
- [Buyback (Dota 2)](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#buyback)
- [Volumetric Smoke Execution](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#smoke-wall)
- [Roshan Timing & Aegis Cycle](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#roshan-timing)
- [First Blood (FB)](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#first-blood)
- [Technical Pause (Tech Pause)](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#tech-pause)
- [Hero Power Spike](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#hero-power-spike)
- [Weapon Drop & Economy Pooling](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#drop-weapon)
- [Map Control & Space Creation](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#map-control)
- [Glyph of Fortification](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#glyph-of-fortification)
- [Neutral Camp Stacking](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#stack-creeps)
- [Map Handicap (-1.5 / +1.5)](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#map-handicap)
- [Round Total Over/Under (e.g. 21.5)](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#round-total-over-under)
- [Pistol Round Winner](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#pistol-winner)
- [Overtime Included (OT Included)](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#overtime-included)
- [Player Prop: ADR (Average Damage per Round)](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#player-prop-adr)
- [KAST% (Kill, Assist, Survived, Traded)](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#kast-percentage)
- [Decider Map (Map 3 in Bo3)](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#decider-map)
- [Race to 10 Kills (Kill Race)](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#kill-race-10)
- [Correct Map Score (Bo3)](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#correct-score-bo3)
- [First to 5 Rounds](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#first-to-5-rounds)
- [First / Next Roshan Kill](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#roshan-kill-market)
- [Map Duration Over/Under (Minutes)](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#map-duration-over-under)
- [Total Kills Spread / Handicap](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#total-kills-handicap)
- [In-Play Radar Telemetry Delay](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#live-odds-radar-delay)
- [Tournament Outright Winner (Futures)](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#outright-futures)
- [Active Duty Map Veto](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#active-duty-veto)
- [Hero Pick & Ban Phase](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#ban-phase)
- [Minimax Advantage in Veto](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#minimax-advantage)
- [Best-of-One (Bo1) Variance](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#bo1-variance)
- [CT/T Side Balance Asymmetry](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#ct-t-side-asymmetry)
- [Drafting Synergy & Combo Engine](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#drafting-synergy)
- [Permanent Ban (Permaban)](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#permaban)
- [Flex Pick Strategy](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#flex-pick)
- [Cheese Strategy / Pocket Strat](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#cheese-strategy)
- [Direct Hero Hard Counters](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#hero-matchup-counters)
- [Decider Side Selection Advantage](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#decider-pick-advantage)
- [Swiss System Matchmaking & Buchholz Score](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#swiss-system-pairing)
- [Coach Tactical Pause Limit (30s)](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#coach-tactical-timeout)
- [Stand-In / Emergency Substitute Penalty](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#stand-in-penalty)
- [Post-Patch Meta Decay & Volatility](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#patch-decay)
- [Closing Line Value (CLV)](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#closing-line-value)
- [Margin Drag (Vig Friction)](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#margin-drag)
- [Stream Latency Buffer](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#stream-latency-buffer)
- [Half-Kelly Staking Criteria](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#half-kelly-staking)
- [Chasing Tilt (Drawdown Escalation)](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#chasing-tilt)
- [Tilt Stop Protocol (Cool-Down Rule)](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#tilt-protocol)
- [Betting Unit Sizing (1-2% Rule)](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#unit-sizing)
- [Break-Even Implied Win Rate](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#break-even-win-rate)
- [Synthetic Bookmaker Hold](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#synthetic-hold)
- [Flat Staking Model](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#flat-staking)
- [Steam Move (Syndicate Line Shift)](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#steam-move)
- [Stale Line Arbitrage](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#stale-line)
- [Maximum Drawdown Tolerance](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#drawdown-tolerance)
- [No-Vig Fair Odds (True Probability)](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#vig-free-fair-odds)
- [Second-Round Force Buy EV Exploitation](https://esportsharps.com/en/glossary/#loss-bonus-exploitation)

## Operator information
- [1win and Stake comparison](https://esportsharps.com/en/casinos/)
Affiliate links use the local /esports/{brand} gateway. Availability, account eligibility and current terms must be checked with the operator. Listing order is not evidence that an offer is best.

## Settlement example
A 13-9 result is a 4-round win: a -3.5 round handicap covers, while -4.5 does not. Check the operator rules for overtime and settlement.

No research result, bonus percentage, payout time or income guarantee is asserted by this index.